Oh, there will be lots of exiles going back- just long enough to get their families who stayed behind and return to the US. The Cuban government will not break down gracefully, and its concerns have never really been for the people who live there while it's dealing with its own bullshit.
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*sigh* But then, I've thought the U.S.'s policies towards Cuba, especially since the fall of the Soviet Union, have been rather asinine.