Hrm... yes, I can see that

So...

Obama is the winner in Wisconsin, and has an incredible lead in Hawaii (around 76% to Clinton's 23%).

The Clinton camp, of course, will ignore this... wait, they already have. Because if they bring it up, it means that they have to actually admit that Obama has 10 wins in a row.

Of course, that means nothing if Clinton gets wins in Ohio and Texas. But at this point, she has to win both to truly stay in the campaign. And while she still has a better lead in Ohio then in Texas, her lead is shrinking in both states.

Honestly, I'm not even sure if wins in both states would be enough. Yes, it would revitalize her campaign, but she needs a couple commanding wins. Obama beat her by 17% in Wisconsin, and looks to be pulling better then a 50% margin in Hawaii. Hell, in every primary since Super Tuesday, Obama has won by at least 20%. Clinton needs to match that kind of victory in Ohio and Texas, not just squeak out a win.

And I don't think she can do it. At least not in both states. Ohio, yeah, she's still got a decent lead. But there's a couple weeks between now and their primary, and there's all kinds of room for her (or her husband, or her campaign staff) to fuck things up. Obama hasn't made a serious misstep yet, as far as I can tell.

Texas? Whole other story. Clinton still has a lead there, but it's like 8% at best. (Actually, CNN has her with only a 2% lead according to their polls. Ouch.) And again, there's a couple weeks between now and Texas's primary. A lot can happen.

Right now, I could maybe see Clinton taking Ohio, but losing Texas. Ask me again in a week, and we'll see what I say then.

I really should have returned to this a long time ago

New comic up on scurrying_light

Dear LJ

Seriously, what the fuck? Why is everything taken such a festering long time to load in Firefox?

It is a sad state of affairs when IE loads the pages faster.